Trump Takes the Lead in Five of Six Swing States, Raising Alarm Bells for Democrats

Both Democratic and Republican candidates face broad unfavourable perceptions, and President Biden's public approval rating remains consistently below the 50 percent threshold. This month, it is hovering around 39 percent, marking a concerning proximity to his lowest rating of 36 percent recorded in mid-2022. 

US President Joe Biden's approval rating has taken a significant hit, plummeting to 39 percent, a number perilously close to his previous low of 36 percent recorded in mid-2022 during his presidency. This decline has raised eyebrows, especially as his predecessor, Donald Trump, appears to hold a narrow lead in five states according to several polls. 

However, a considerable portion of the youth population views both candidates as unsuitable for the POTUS position, with 76 percent expressing concern that the country is heading in the wrong direction.

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Both Democratic and Republican candidates face broad unfavourable perceptions, and President Biden's public approval rating remains consistently below the 50 percent threshold. This month, it is hovering around 39 percent, marking a concerning proximity to his lowest rating of 36 percent recorded in mid-2022. 

The ABC/Ipsos poll has brought these numbers to light, but the Democratic camp continues to support President Biden, suggesting that early poll predictions often depict a bleak picture for incumbent presidents in the year preceding an election. Many voters may not yet be tuned into the political agenda.

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President Biden's re-election campaign is proceeding full steam ahead, despite concerns about his age. As he approaches his 81st birthday on November 20, voters worry about his cognitive abilities to make sound decisions for the American people. 

This concern is mirrored in the case of Donald Trump, who is also 77 years old. While voters ponder the possibility of a "Plan B," pollsters argue that it's too late to change horses at this point, as the filing deadline for presidential state primaries in Nevada, New Hampshire, and South Carolina has passed, leaving no room for new candidates.

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Minnesota businessman Representative Dean Phillips is the only officially elected Democrat challenging Biden's candidacy for the 2024 presidency. However, recent polls show Phillips with just four percent support among potential Democratic primary voters. Meanwhile, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., a member of the Kennedy family, offers a glimmer of hope for Democrats by potentially drawing more support away from Trump than Biden as an independent candidate. 

In a head-to-head matchup, Biden narrowly leads Trump by one point, 47 to 46 percent, taking into account the margin of error. However, in a three-way race with Kennedy, Biden secures 39 percent, Trump 36 percent, and Kennedy 22 percent. Donor data suggests that Kennedy is pulling more support from past Trump supporters.

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Simultaneously, the third Republican debate is set to take place in Florida, featuring five candidates facing off. Notably, former President Donald Trump continues to lead among 2024 GOP candidates, despite facing legal issues such as tax fraud in New York, election subversion in Georgia, and conspiracy to overturn the 2020 election verdict in Washington. 

The debate will air on NBC News from 8-10 p.m. ET, and it features five candidates who meet all party qualifying criteria: Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy, former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, South Carolina Senator Tim Scott, and former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.

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Trump's strong position in the 2024 GOP race is particularly evident in his lead over Biden in five crucial states. A New York Times Sienna poll reveals that voters in battleground states trust Donald J. Trump more than incumbent President Joe Biden on various fronts, including the economy, foreign policy, and immigration. Biden's multi-racial voter base, including African-Americans, Hispanics, and Asian voters, appears to be fracturing, especially among young Latino voters.

(With agency inputs)

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Also Read | Kamala Harris Outperforms Joe Biden In 3 Crucial Swing States For 2024 US Presidential Contest

Also Read | US President Joe Biden Trails Donald Trump In 5 Crucial States: New Poll

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