Matrize Opinion poll predicts that the high-octane campaign and no-holds-barred electoral clash between the BJP-led MahaYuti and the Congress-led Maha Vikas Agahi alliance will settle in favor of the ruling coalition.
The alliance of BJP, Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena, and Ajit Pawar-led NCP is likely to easily outscore Congress, SS (UBT), and NCP (SP), with the former comfortably crossing the halfway mark of 145.
The MahaYuti alliance is likely to win 145-165 seats, while the Opposition MVA is expected to settle with 106-126 seats in the 288-member Maharashtra Assembly.
Like Jharkhand, other states too are likely not to have much say in the outcome of the Maharashtra Assembly polls.
The ruling MahaYuti alliance will be under an upper hand as far as vote share is concerned. The BJP-led alliance will log 47 percent vote share and the Congress-led alliance will likely garner 41 percent vote share. Independents and others can expect to grab up to 12 percent vote share.
BJP will receive the maximum public support in western Maharashtra, Vidarbha, and Thane-Konkan regions, which would translate to 48 per cent, 48 per cent, and 52 per cent of votes, respectively.
For the Congress-led MVA, the North Maharashtra and Marathwada will emerge as significant support bases that will give around 47 and 44 percentage of votes, respectively.
In terms of vote shares, Eknath Shinde tops the list as the first preferred Maharashtra Chief Minister, with as high as 40% nodding in affirmation for him, leaving the other Chief Minister faces way behind at 21% and 19% respectively for Uddhav Thackeray and Devendra Fadnavis, according to the Matrize Survey.
Above 65 per cent of the respondents are said to be satisfied with the Shinde government: 42 per cent of them call it very good, while 27 per cent claim it is average.
While asking on possible reasons behind BJP-led MahaYuti's dismal performance in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, some 48 per cent respondents said it was because of people's resentment with BJP over bifurcation of two parties- Shiv Sena and Nationalist Congress Party (NCP).
The survey was conducted by Matrize polling agency between October 10 to November 9. It collected a sample size of more than a lakh of respondents for the survey.
In ten days from now, the high-stakes battle for Maharashtra will seal the fate as well as the future of many political stalwarts, as a lot will depend on how the election results turn out.
Voting will be done for 288 seats of the Maharashtra Legislative Assembly in a single phase on November 20. The counting of votes will take place on November 23.
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