According to the polling firm Survation, the Labour Party is going to achieve a convincing win at the general election in 2024. It would see the party securing 484 seats from 650 in Parliament—this could be one huge change in British politics. Probably, it will mean Labour Party leader Keir Starmer is on course for a historic mandate that will surpass the incumbent Prime Minister and Conservative Party leader Rishi Sunak.
Hailed as hat-trick victors for 14 years until now, seat wise the conservatives are now expected to gain only 64 seats while the democrats are expected to garner 61 seats. In comparison, during 1997, when labour was helmed by Tony Blair, it had won as many as 418 seats, which could mean that the party's political fortunes were again looking up.
The research suggests the Reform Party will win seven seats. Indeed, there is an equally aggressive fight between Conservatives and Liberal Democrats that seeks to provide the official opposition.
Further polls by Survation suggest that Labour is now on course to overtake the Scottish National Party as the largest party in Scotland. This projection will make use of the MRP model, which projects the number of seats by induction from the data of more than 30,000 respondents.
Although he has until January 25 to issue the call for elections, UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak announced that the country would go to the polls on July 4, thus setting the stage for one of its most important electoral contests.
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