Ruling Bhartiya Janata Party is favourite to win the upcoming UP assembly elections despite Samazwadi Party's (SP) rapid resurgence in the state, according to a survey conducted by ABP-CVoter-IANS 5-State Snap Poll. The survey also indicated that BJP may lose 108 seats to the Akhilesh Yadav led SP.
However, Congress seems to make a strong comeback in Uttarakhand and Punjab as per the survey.
The Snap poll shows that Uttar Pradesh CM Yogi Adityanath is most likely to retain his post but the rapid growth of Samajwadi party is narrowing the seat difference between the two parties in the state.
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BJP is expected to win 217 assembly seats which is 108 seats less than its tally of 325 seats it had won in 2017 elections.
The five-state snap poll was conducted with a sample size of 1,07,193 across 690 seats with a margin of error of +/- 3% to +/- 5%.
The SP led by former Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav is rising rapidly in popularity and is now expected to get 156 seats. The battle in UP is now clearly between the BJP and the SP and the gap between the two is only around 60 seats.
In Uttarakhand, the BJP is still leading the race with 38 seats down from 57 it won in the previous elections, losing 19 seats. It is the Congress that is giving a strong fight to the BJP with a gain of 21 seats, touching a tally of 32 seats in the 70-member Assembly.
In Punjab also, the gap is narrowing between the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and the Congress. AAP is still ahead with 51 seats in the 117-member Assembly, but the Congress has narrowed the gap with a tally of 46 seats, still down 31 seats from its tally of 77 in the previous elections, but new Chief Minister Charanjit Singh Channi is making a difference. Akali Dal is third with 20 seats.
In Goa, the BJP is leading with 21 seats in the 40-member Assembly, followed by others at 10, AAP at 5 and Congress with only 4 seats.
In Manipur, the BJP is leading with 27 seats in the 60-member Assembly, followed by Congress with 22 seats.
In Uttar Pradesh, while the BJP is holding on to its vote share, with just a minor drop of 0.7 per cent at 40.7 per cent, it is losing 108 seats as the SP is gaining vote share by 7.1 per cent to 31.1 per cent.
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