An exclusive opinion poll conducted by CVoter for ABP News provides insights into the upcoming Assembly elections in Telangana, revealing that it is currently challenging to project a clear winner.
The most significant story emerging from the survey is the resurgence of the Congress in the state after facing electoral defeat in the 2018 Assembly elections.
According to the survey, the Congress's vote share is projected to increase from 28.3 percent in 2018 to 39.4 percent in the current elections. The vote share of the ruling party, the BRS (formerly the TRS), is projected to decline from 46.9 percent in 2018 to 40.6 percent in the current elections.
The BJP is projected to come in a distant third with a vote share of 14.3 percent. While this is more than double the vote share it received in 2018, it falls below the threshold for winning a significant number of seats.
Other major parties like TDP, YSR Congress, CPI, and CPI(M), which had some influence in 2014 and 2018, have been reduced to virtual irrelevance in this survey. AIMIM is projected to retain its vote share in certain pockets of the capital, Hyderabad.
According to the survey, the BRS is projected to win between 49 to 61 seats in Telangana. The majority mark in the 119-member house is 60. In 2018, the BRS had won 88 seats on its own.
The resurgence of the Congress is reflected in the projected range of seats for the party, which is between 43 to 55. In the 2018 elections, the Congress had won 19 seats.
The BJP is expected to secure a distant third place with a projected range of seats between 5 and 11.
Telangana is scheduled to go to the polls on November 30, according to the Election Commission's schedule, which means there are more than three weeks of campaigning left. The CVoter survey included interviews with 9,631 registered voters across the state, with a margin of error of 3 percent.
(With Agency Inputs)