RBI revises GDP growth for FY21 to (-)7.5% from (-) 9.5% on current recovery rate, vaccine hopes

The revision comes after the narrowing of the GDP contraction for the July-September, along with hopes of early availability of Covid-19 vaccines.

Indicating faster recovery of Indian economy, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday revised the real GDP growth projection for FY21 upwards to (-) 7.5 per cent from the earlier estimate of (-) 9.5%.

The revision comes after the narrowing of the GDP contraction for the July-September, along with hopes of early availability of Covid-19 vaccines.

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RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das posted a video statement on Friday after the Monetary Policy Committee's (MPC) meet in which he said that the growth will enter positive zone in the third quarter of current fiscal with projection that GDP may grow at 0.1 per cent 

He also added that the growth will further improve in Q4 to 0.7 pet cent.

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The RBI had projected that in H1 of FY22, the GDP growth may be around 6.5 per cent.

The RBI Governor said that the rural economy still continues to lead the overall recovery and the urban demand is also accelerating.

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Noting that the economic recovery for India has been faster than anticipated, he said that the road to recovery is still clouded by the rise in Covid cases in patches across the country, which may lead to local restrictions, obstructing economic activities.

Das announced that the MPC has decided to keep the repo rate unchanged at 4 per cent while keeping the accommodative stance intact.

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He assured that the committee will continue with the accommodative stance at least for the current financial year.

(With agency inputs)

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