An exclusive opinion poll conducted by CVoter for ABP News provides insights into the upcoming Assembly elections in Chhattisgarh, indicating that the Congress is projected to retain power.
In the 2018 Assembly elections, the Congress secured a resounding victory after the BJP had ruled the state for three consecutive terms from 2003 to 2018.
According to the survey, although the BJP has made significant progress in recovering the ground it lost in 2018, it still lags behind the Congress in terms of both vote share and the number of seats.
While Chhattisgarh has traditionally witnessed a two-way contest between the BJP and the Congress since its formation in 2000, other parties like the BSP did have a significant presence in the state. However, in the current Assembly elections, these smaller parties are projected to have a marginal role.
The CVoter survey indicates that the Congress's vote share in the state is projected to increase from 43.1 percent in 2018 to 44.8 percent this time. The BJP's vote share is also projected to rise, from 33 percent in 2018 to 42.7 percent in the current elections.
The vote share of "others" is expected to decline from 23.9 percent in 2018 to 12.5 percent this time.
The small but significant advantage in vote share enjoyed by the Congress has led to projections of the party surpassing the majority mark of 45 in the 90-member Assembly.
According to the CVoter survey, the Congress is projected to win between 45 to 51 seats in the current elections, compared to the 68 seats it won in the 2018 Assembly elections.
The BJP is projected to win between 36 to 42 seats, a significant improvement over 2018 when it won just 15 seats, but still not sufficient to dislodge the Congress from power.
The "others" are projected to win between 2 to 5 seats.
During the survey, CVoter interviewed 5,782 registered voters, with a margin of error of 3 percent.
(With Agency Inputs)
ALSO READ | All Eyes on Patan as Baghel Engages in a 'Chacha-Bhatija' Battle
