ICRA

"As the incremental retail participation dampened in the current fiscal, the pace of new client additions slowed compared to the last fiscal. Also, notwithstanding the recent trend reversal, the Foreign institutional investors (FII) remained net sellers in H1 CY2022, which also weakened investor sentiment. Amid this, DIIs helped the market in FY2022," said Deep Inder Singh, Vice President, ICRA.

Sectors like hotels, power, retail, and oil & gas, among others, reported significant QoQ growth in revenues in Q1 FY2023. However, a few other sectors like airlines, construction, capital goods, and iron & steel witnessed a sequential decline. The sequential growth in revenues during the quarter was dismal at 1.5 per cent and the trends varied across sectors.

The gross value added (GVA) at basic price in Q1FY23 is projected at 12.6 per cent from 3.9 per cent earlier. ICRA expects the sectoral growth in Q1 FY2023 to be driven by the services sector (+17-19 per cent; +5.5 per cent in Q4 FY2022), followed by the industry (+9-11 per cent; +1.3 per cent).

"Public sector banks are expected to raise Rs 201 billion in AT-I bonds during FY2023, but private sector issuances are expected to remain modest depending on market opportunities. Unlike in FY2022, when issuances were mostly driven by rollover requirements, issuances by public banks in FY2023 are primarily driven by growth requirements," said Anil Gupta, Vice President, ICRA.

The Company's EPS increased by 22.7 per cent to Rs 33.2 in Q1 FY2023 against Rs 27.0 in Q1 FY2022. The quarter saw an increase in global inflation; this coupled with the upward revision of the repo rate during the quarter, has translated into increasing bond yields. The employee benefit expenses registered a decline of 2.1 per cent to Rs 28.4 crore in Q1 FY2023, accounting for 35.4 per cent of the company's total income.

According to ICRA, the growth will be led by health and commercial business segments owing to increased awareness of medical insurance and uptick in economic activity. The gross domestic premium income (GDPI) of government-owned insurers is expected to grow moderately at 4-6 per cent, while private insurers are expected to capture market share by growing at a higher rate of 13-15 per cent in FY23, ICRA said.

Accordingly, the expected trend came to light via a survey of entities constituting over 50% of the industry's AUM. In the ICRA's survey, entities expect asset quality to improve in FY2023 from current levels. Besides, large entities are expecting to consume some of the excess liquidity for business growth while smaller ones intend to maintain liquidity amid expectations of funding constraints to support their liquidity profile in event of any uncertainties and to provide comfort to various stakeholders.