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Markets at make-or-break stage
BSESENSEX lost 843.86 points or 1.36 per cent to close at 61,337.81 points while NIFTY lost 227.60 points or 1.23 per cent to close at 18,269 points. The broader indices saw BSE100, BSE200 and BSE500 lose 1.32 per cent, 1.28 per cent and 1.15 per cent respectively. BSEMIDCAP was down 1.37 per cent while BSESMALLCAP lost 0.14 per cent. All the sectoral indices on BSE lost ground during the week.
Markets looking for final burst before year end
This brings us close to the level where the rally must commence again in the next couple of days. If that does not happen, there could be another sharp round of selling which would emerge. This could probably put an end to the expected Santa Claus rally that one is used to seeing in Indian markets. BSESENSEX lost 686.83 points or 1.09 per cent to close at 62,181.67 points while NIFTY lost 199.50 points or 1.07 per cent to close at 18,496.60 points.
Indian markets do better than global leaders despite interest rate hikes
If one looks at the performance of stock markets on a calendar basis since 2005, there have been eight instances when markets have gained between 0 and 25 per cent, six instances when they have gained between 26 per cent and 50 per cent, and just one instance when they gained more than 76 per cent.
Retail investors with portfolios focused on small caps aren't celebrating
This explains the absence of celebration among retail investors whose portfolios are oriented towards small caps, says V.K. Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services. The significant characteristic of the ongoing rally is that it is a mature rally driven by high quality stocks. The earlier rally which took the Nifty from the March 2020 low of 7,511 to 18,604 in October 2021 was a one-way rally driven by liquidity and retail exuberance.
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See-saw battle between interest rate and market indices
Curiously, this time around there is a conundrum. When the interest rates are going up and also set to go up further, the stock market indices are touching new heights. "It is true that the biggest enemy of equity markets is rising interest rates. This is the normal relationship. Rising interest rates lead to higher cost of funds and that eats into profitability especially in medium and small enterprises," Dr. Joseph Thomas, Head of Research, Emkay Wealth Management told IANS.
Explaining the conundrum: It happens when GDP grows, corp earnings rise
There have been many periods when both interest rates and stock prices went up. If GDP growth and corporate earnings are good, stock prices can go up despite rate hikes, says V.K. Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services. Indian market never dipped into bear territory this year unlike in many other markets like the US. So, this cannot be termed as a bear market rally, he added.
Indian markets touch new highs on Monday
The Sensex of BSE on Monday touched a record high of 62,661.40 points. The Sensex opened at 62,016.35 points and touched a high of 62,661.40 points and a low of 61,959.74 points during the day. The Sensex had previously closed at 62,293.64 points. After coming below the 62,000 points, the Sensex rallied up to cross again that milestone and later came down.
With new highs done, expect midcap and smallcap to dominate now
BSE Sensex gained 630.16 points or 1.02 per cent to close at 62,293.64 points, while Nifty gained 205.10 points or 1.12 per cent to close at 18,512.75 points. The broader markets saw BSE 100, BSE 200 and BSE 500 gain 1.0 per cent%, 1.02 per cent and 1.07 per cent, respectively. BSE midcap was up 1.83 per cent while BSE smallcap was up 1.57 per cent.
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